博文
(2008-04-22 20:31:49)

Onthemarketandgeneralsentimentstowardthemarket,letmesimplyquotefollowinglink:http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/bulls-trying-turn-technical-corner/story.aspx?guid=%7BEE0631BD%2DB321%2D46F1%2D9A77%2D4F445FDED091%7DIthinktheauthorisabsolutelyrightthat1).Themarketisborderingtheresistancelevel.2).thegeneralsentimentisveryreactive(totheearningnews).Personally,Ibelieve,withtoday’sbacktrack,weareback...[阅读全文]
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(2008-04-21 19:32:17)
Forawhile,themarketwasreminiscentoftherecentpast,badnewsfromafinancialinstitution,amarketjustreacheditshighendofthetradingrangeandupagainstitsresistance.ItisalsoaMondaywhenpeoplehaveover-thoughtduringtheweekend.Butthistime,itisdifferent,forone,thetechsectorprovidethesupportandleadershipofthemarket,andsecondly,therearemorebeliefsfromtheinvestors.Attheend,themarketstagedanimpressivecomebackinNASDAQ....[阅读全文]
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(2008-04-20 17:27:39)
TheearningseasonisliketheceremonyofunveilingofthebrideintraditionalChinesewedding,mostlyitispredicative,grandmothers,sisters-in-lawandthegroomallknowwhatthefacewillbeaftertheveilislifted.Butwhenitisasurprise,itcouldimpactthelifeofhumanbeings.Ifyoudonotbelieveit,justreadtheclassicof“DreaminRedMansions”,whenLingMMturnedouttobeBaoJJ,oneisdead,anotherisinsane.Fortunately,inmarket,thesurpriseisadoubl...[阅读全文]
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(2008-04-15 20:18:27)
Thelaughofbullcanbeheardmilesaway,itseemsliketheholdingpatternfinallycanbeendedandwecanresumeourascendingfromhere.GE’snews?Thatsoundssolastcentury.ItissosimpleevenacavemancandoitJ,justtakealookofacoupleofearningsandwecandeducethefuturepathofthemarket.Butwait,whataboutotherthingsthatmaycomeintoplay?Thingslikeinflation(PPI)?Housing(housestart)andeconomy(beigebook)?AndwhataboutIBM’searningtomorrow?...[阅读全文]
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(2008-04-14 20:32:53)
Today’sactionissomewhatexpected.Ifthefuturedirectionisdeterminedbyhowtheearningshapesup,then,wedidnotgetmuchhinttoday.Thatwillchangeinthenexttwodays.Eventhoughthevolumeislow,nevertheless,thepicturewasnotpretty.Itistruethatthemarketiseventuallydeterminedbythefundamentals–earnings,macroeconomyetc—thechartprovidesacondensedviewashowthosefundamentalsareperceivedbythemarket.Agriculturebusinessesareo...[阅读全文]
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(2008-04-13 10:26:25)
Thepremisethattherecession,ifthereisaone,willbeshortandshallowsuddenlylookssosuspicious,thattheeuphoriathebullpainstakinglybuildsincethebeginningofthenewquartergotcrashedbyasingleswipe.Notsolongago,themarketlookedsopromisingwithallmajorindexesseemedtobreakthedownwardtrend,byFriday,inthedawnofayoungearningseason,itis,yetagain,sendbacktothesamespotwherethequarterbegan.Eventhough,itistooearlytowritet...[阅读全文]
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(2008-04-10 20:53:59)
Forbull,itwasagoodday.Eventhoughthesellingtowardstheendofthesessionwasalittlediscouraging,itwasneverthelessanupday.1).thetimelyreboundoftechandespeciallysmhprovidedrenewedhopeforthegrowthsectors.2).thepsychologicimpacecannotbeunderestimatedafterconsectivedowndriftdays.
Formepersonally,itiskindofbittersweet.Ifoundoutthismorningthatmyyesterday'sbloghasbeenputonthetopofDQwhilethepre-marketwasdown...[阅读全文]
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(2008-04-09 20:53:15)
ThatisthechantingweheardalotfromObama'senthusiaticsupportters.Justwishthebullcouldshowthesamepassion.
Thisslowdrifttolowcertainlywilltestbull'sconvictionanddefinitelywillshakesomeweakhandsout.however,therearesilverliningssurroundthisdarkclouds,anditwillfeelsgoodifthebullcouldjustsaytothemselveseachdaythatyes,wecan:)
Despitetheheadlinethatthemarketwentdown,thechangetothemarketisreallyneglig...[阅读全文]
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(2008-04-08 20:18:38)
Themarketlostthedirectionbecausethereisnoapparentcatalysttopushmarkethigher,Earnings,atleasttheearningmadetheheadline,islackluster,buttheimplicationwaslimited.Weexpectthisholdingpatternwillcontinueinthenextfewdaysuntiltheearningpicturebecomeclearer.
Therearestillhighhopesforthepositivesurprise,thisisbecause,duringtheso-calledconfessionperiod,thereareveryfewpre-warnings,andthisexplainswhythemar...[阅读全文]
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(2008-04-07 21:03:15)
Attheend,itisthecoolheadsruledtheday.
Itisthehopethattheearningwillbeokforthe1stquarter,butitisnotarealityyet,thus,tobetthemoneyonthehopeisjustfoolheaded.fortunately,attimes,themajorityoftheinvestorsaresmart,asDQcantestify:),thus,themarketendedlittlechanged.itistantamounttosay,let'swaitandsee.
andtheyshouldnotregretforthedecision.atleastforaday.
Afterthebell,AA'searningprovidenoboostof...[阅读全文]
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